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Thursday, May 14, 2026
Short Term Top?
Top Signals warned of a Top at mid-day. The chart below
is a plot of Top / Bottom signals; it was -6 (Top Warning) at today’s high. If
the S&P 500 closes below 5717 there won’t be a top-warning in my system. Wall
Street is watching the same thing I am – the Index pulled back when the
Bollinger Bands became overbought around noon.
This doesn’t have to be a major top. Since we have seen
good breadth at tops recently, this does not look like a major top. I expect a
3-5% normal retreat. If the S&P 500 closes below 5717 today, perhaps the
index will continue higher. For me, I am selling SSO since I suspect the close
today might be “close enough.” I don’t like holding leveraged positions when a
pullback of any amount is anticipated or suggested. Short-term trading is impossible, they say, so who knows
if this will work out. I do know that it is never wrong to take profits.