Friday, September 29, 2017

Personal Income … PCE Prices … Chicago PMI … Michigan Sentiment … Stock Market Analysis … ETF Trading

PERSONAL INCOME (Nasdaq.com/RTTNews)
“U.S. personal income and spending both rose in line with economist estimates in the month of August, according to a report released by the Commerce Department on Friday. The Commerce Department said personal income edged up by 0.2 percent in August…” Story at… 
http://www.nasdaq.com/article/us-personal-income-and-spending-rise-in-line-with-estimates-in-august-20170929-00509

PCE PRICES (Reuters)
“U.S. consumer spending barely rose in August likely as Hurricane Harvey weighed on auto sales, while annual inflation increased at its slowest pace in nearly two years, pointing to a moderation in economic growth in the third quarter.” Story at…
My cmt: No inflation here.  Perhaps the Fed WILL change course and slow their rate of rate hikes…or reverse direction and lower them??!!

CHCAGO PMI (Marketwatch)
“The Chicago purchasing managers index rose to 65.2 in September from 58.9 in August, on a scale where any reading above 50 indicates improving conditions. That’s the highest level in three months and close to June’s reading of 65.7, the highest level since 2011.”

 MICHIGAN SENTIMENT
“Consumer sentiment fell slightly in September on concerns over the future, even as consumers assessed current conditions to be slightly better. The University of Michigan consumer-sentiment index fell to 95.3 from 96.8 in August.” Story at… 
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-falls-slightly-in-september-amid-hurricane-concerns-2017-09-15

MARKET REPORT / ANALYSIS         
I am busy today so report this will be abbreviated. As of mid-afternoon, there are few changes from yesterday’s report.

RSI is no longer overbought, but the Bollinger Bands remain nearly overbought. I think the next big move up, say around 1%, could mark another short-term top. From there a retreat of some kind, probably in the 3-5% range, is probable.

I remain bullish longer-term. One wonders when this party will end so I will worry if the numbers deteriorate, but I remain fully invested. There isn’t any news now that signals a bear market and long-term indicators remain neutral.

I’ll catch up on the Friday closing data later. Enjoy the weekend.