Friday, August 23, 2019

Trade War … New Home Sales ... Bullish Put / Call

“Trade what you see; not what you think.” – The Old Fool, Richard McCranie, trader extraordinaire.
 
It’s a busy day so I’ll post analysis later tonight or tomorrow. For now, here’s the news.
 
TRADE WAR (CNBC)
“Stocks fell to their lows of the day [this morning] on Friday after President Donald Trump ordered in a series tweets that U.S. companies find alternatives to their operations in China. Apple led the way lower.” Story at…
My cmt: The President can’t “order” companies to leave China, but tariffs are already pushing companies in that direction. Yeti and Crocs are just two companies that have already shifted production out of China. For many companies, it will be a longer process. Trump was responding to China’s imposition of more tariffs announced today.
 
NEW HOME SALES (Reuters)
“Sales of new U.S. single-family homes sank more than expected in July, a sign that the housing market continued in low gear despite lower mortgage rates and a strong labor market. The Commerce Department said on Friday new home sales dropped 12.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 635,000 units last month.” Story at…
 
BULLISH PUT/CALL 21-dMA RATIO (McClellan Financial Publications)
“The stock market selloff since the last new all-time high on July 26 has brought the bears out, and they have been trading a lot of put options.  Some trade those as an outright bearish bet, and some as a hedge on portfolio risk.  Whatever the motivation for those trades, it is a sign of a bottoming condition for prices when we see persistently higher trading of put options versus call options.” Commentary at…