Thursday, October 31, 2019

Update for Wednesday (10/30/2019) … Stocks Could be in for Years of Gains … Stock Market Analysis

“Trade what you see; not what you think.” – The Old Fool, Richard McCranie, trader extraordinaire.

STOCKS COULD TRADE MUCH HIGHER (Ciovacco Capital Management)
This is a long audio with a lot of detailed analysis and charts. It was well worth the time. Bottom line: He suggests that consolidations, such as the DotCom and Financial Crashes, have been followed by long periods of strong returns. We could be in for years of further positive market returns.  Interesting! 
Charts and audio at…

My short post on the NTSM indicators follows. (I return to full analysis in late November.)

We have had computer problems here. That issue and time constraints have made it impossible to keep up with momentum analysis, although I am sure that Apple remains the number one stock in the Dow. I’ll re-build that database when I have time.

WEDNESDAY’S DATA
My daily sum of 20 Indicators improved from +4 to +5 (a positive number is bullish; negatives are bearish) while the 10-day smoothed sum that negates the daily fluctuations slipped from +51 to +50. (These numbers sometimes change after I post the blog based on data that comes in late.) A reminder: Most of these indicators are short-term.

The Intermediate/Long-Term indicators are bullish. The rapidly falling VIX is bullish and that is driving the long—term indicator.

The short-term Market Internals indicator is HOLD as it has been for the last 4 days. Previously it had been bullish.

RSI is bearish; Bollinger Bands are not yet negative, but they are very elevated, so we may be in for a pause of some kind.

I remain bullish.