The
S&P 500 started the year at 1257.64 and finished 2011 at 1257.60 for a loss
of 0.003%. (It would be hard to get any closer to zero gain that that.)
NTSM
started the year fully invested. NTMS
had three trades (sold 3-times and bought 3-times) during the year and ended
the year fully invested.
The
Navigate the Stock Market analysis was up 12% on the year.
Risk
adjusted, NTSM looks good because the NTSM was invested in the stock market for
only 151-days or 60% of the trading days.
In
the last 23-days there have only been 3-days when the NTSM analysis was not BUY
(the other three were Hold). In the past
that sort of consistency has been very bullish, but there is no guarantee here;
as I point out regularly, the NTSM analysis does not foresee the future – it just
analyzes the present status of the S&P 500 via Sentiment, Price, Volume and
Vix.
The
S&P 500 finished the year at the 200-day moving average. If the market can move up a little from here it
may create some optimism from the technical traders. I remain bullish going into the new year.
The
NTSM analysis is BUY today.
I
bought back into the stock market at S&P 500, 1155 on 7 Oct after the 6 Oct
NTSM buy signal. I remain 100% long in
the long term portfolio (100% stocks in the 401k.). (See the page “How to Use
the NTSM System” – the link is on the right side of this page).
I
am 90% long in the trading portfolio.
Just
a reminder: 100% invested in stocks is way too much for most rational
folks. Don’t do it unless you have a
high tolerance for risk.
Have a Happy and safe New Year
Have a Happy and safe New Year
