Thursday, May 26, 2011

My analysis – the stock market is going higher


We had a low volume day today on the S&P 500 with about 15% less volume than we’ve had over the last month.  This doesn’t really tell us much though.  Low volume is normal after a bottom, because traders don’t know if we’ve really bottomed and are cautions.  Also, low volume could mean there is little interest in buying so the brief rally we’ve had in the past 2-days may not be sustained.  As always, we’ll have to wait and see.

“Is the glass half full, or half empty?
It depends on whether you're pouring, or drinking.” – Bill Cosby

The Navigate the Stock Market analysis is a HOLD again today.  The Navigate the Stock Market analysis switched to BUY on 20 April and has been Hold or Buy since then.

I remain 100% long in stocks in the Long-term portfolio and I 75% long in the trading portfolio. (See the page How to Use the NTSM System).  That is way too aggressive for most people and I don’t recommend it unless you have a high tolerance for risk.