Here’s the consensus compiled by WSJ for the PPI release
Tuesday, 0830.
Producer Price Index May +0.8%
PPI ex food & energy May +0.6%
The last PPI was lower on a year-over-year basis, but not
month-to-month. That makes my previous commentary that we might expect good
news Tuesday suspect.
As I noted yesterday, we can look at the most recent Manufacturing
PMI report for clues regarding the PPI report. Last month’s manufacturing PMI
stated “...raw materials prices increased for the 24th consecutive month, at a
slower rate in May...Notably, 5.6 percent of respondents reported lower prices
in May, indicating a slow but steady move towards price softening...”
If those trends continue, we could see a bounce Tuesday. Here's a chart of year-over-year PPI including last month's data point.
Chart from Briefing.com at...
https://www.briefing.com/calendars/economic/display-article?ArticleId=ER20220614083000PPI&FileName=ppi.htm
Producer Price Index May +0.8%
PPI ex food & energy May +0.6%
https://www.briefing.com/calendars/economic/display-article?ArticleId=ER20220614083000PPI&FileName=ppi.htm