Top Signals warned of a Top at mid-day. The chart below is a plot of Top / Bottom signals; it was -6 (Top Warning) at today’s high. If the S&P 500 closes below 5717 there won’t be a top-warning in my system. Wall Street is watching the same thing I am – the Index pulled back when the Bollinger Bands became overbought around noon.
This doesn’t have to be a major top. Since we have seen good breadth at tops recently, this does not look like a major top. I expect a 3-5% normal retreat.