Tuesday, March 8, 2016

China’s Economy is Collapsing … ISM Composite – Suggests Stock Market Crash … Comparing Stock Market Crashes … Bear Market Rally … FED is Increasing Stock Market Volatility … Stock Market Analysis

"No one knows what's going to happen. And anyone that says they do doesn't know what they're talking about." — S&P futures trader
 
CHINA’S COLLAPSING ECONOMY (CNBC)
“China's exports fell 25.4 percent [year]-on-year in February, while imports declined 13.8 percent, clocking far bigger slides than expected by analysts.” Story at…
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/07/china-releases-trade-data-for-february-yuan-denominated-and-us-dollar-imports-and-exports.html
My cmt: Don’t worry; the Chinese economy is still expanding at 7% - Right.
 
CHINA GDP GROWING AT 7% (Reuters)
“China's economy grew 6.9 percent in 2015, the slowest pace in a quarter of a century, but still comfortably the fastest among major economies.” Story at…
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-parliament-economy-idUSKCN0W801D
My cmt: See above “Collapsing Economy” article.  If imports and exports fell double digits, recession is probably already underway. It remains highly unlikely that the US will avoid further stock market correction while China and much of the rest of the world remains in turmoil.
 
ISM COMPOSITE – BAD NEWS FOR THE MARKETS (Real Investment Advice)

“While the markets keep hoping for further central bank interventions to keep the game going, the real issue may be the limits of manipulation have been reached. If that is the case, the “bullish case” may have a problem.” – Lance Roberts
http://realinvestmentadvice.com/analyzing-earnings-as-of-q4-2015/
My cmt: The above chart only touches on one point. This commentary covered a lot of ground and was very interesting. It is bearish overall.
 
COMPARING STOCK MARKET CRASHES