Saturday, July 19, 2014

Stocks Headed Down…Perhaps not quite yet

PERCENTAGE OF STOCKS ABOVE THEIR 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGE
The percentage of stocks above their 200-dMA popped up to 62 Friday and that’s above the level of 61 that appears to be a point of concern.
 
SENTIMENT
Sentiment dropped to 73% Thursday and Friday (the 1-day value, not the 5-day value I use in long term analysis) down from 79% Monday. This indicates that more traders are going short and may give the Index room to move higher next week.
 
Unless the news sends the markets down, I think the S&P 500 can push a bit higher.  Still, I think there is a reasonably sized correction lurking in the not too distant future.