Friday, January 20, 2012

IBM, Microsoft and Intel all on a tear? Party like it’s 1995!


IBM was up 4.4% today; Microsoft was up 5.7%, while Intel added 2.9%. All reported earnings yesterday after the bell.  That really took the sting out of yesterday’s Google disappointment.  This helps distance us from the European recession worries; we still must remain very concerned over Default of the PIIGS. (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain.)    

Dalai Lama when asked what surprised him most about humanity answered "Man,"
because he sacrifices his health in order to make money. Then he sacrifices his money to recuperate his health, and then he is so anxious about the future that he does not enjoy the present, the result being he does not live in the present or the future. He lives as if he is never going to die, and then dies having never lived. - I guess we better spend some of those stock-market earnings!

NTSM UPDATE
Today the NTSM remained HOLD, and that was again caused by market action that has been straight up this month.  Repeating yesterday’s comment: I expect 2-months of strong bullish action after a correction cycle completes, so with luck, we may manage a few more weeks of strong positive results in the markets. 

Bad news might trump the technical analysis so we’ll have to keep our eyes on Europe. 

I bought back into the stock market at S&P 500, 1155 on 7 Oct after the 6 Oct NTSM buy signal.  I remain 100% long in the long term portfolio (100% stocks in the 401k.). (See the page “How to Use the NTSM System” – the link is on the right side of this page). 

I am 90% long in the trading portfolio.  I decided to let the trade ride longer because coming off the bottom last fall we could have further to go.

Just a reminder: 100% invested in stocks is way too much for most rational folks.   Don’t do it unless you have a high tolerance for risk.