Thursday, April 7, 2011

Double Top?

“The psychology behind a double top is that it wipes out the shorts and pulls everyone into the market. It is usually on declining volume which we have had. I think there is a fair chance here that we see a decent pullback. However, it could also reverse course and breakout to the upside. I just think we are overdue for a more significant pullback and this ugly topping pattern is classic. Every day looks like a reversal break out wiping out more shorts and pulling more longs in. I can't imagine there are many people left who are heavily short this market. Oh, and we are almost at the 2 year anniversary of this bull!” – dmorse (ClearStation poster today)

Not much change today in the NTSM analysis.  Still HOLD.

NTMS switched to Sell on 22 February.  Since then, NTMS analysis has been Sell or Hold; therefore, I am still conservatively positioned with only 30% invested in stocks.