Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Trickle -down…

Buy America, sell Europe, By David Weidner, MarketWatch

“…for all of our whining about the recovery — “only” a 2.5% growth rate and a “high” unemployment rate of 8.1% — it is nothing compared to the euro zone: 10.9% unemployment in May and an expected 0% economic growth rate in 2012.

In other words, we’re going gangbusters compared to the austerity-driven economies just west of the Caucuses.”   Full Story at:

MARKET
The S&P 500 was DOWN Tuesday to 1364.  VIX rose 0.6% to 19.05.

On 6 March the S&P 500 made a short-term low of 1343.  Today the S&P 500 bounced off the 1347 level around 11 this morning and moved up from there.  Volume was lower today than 2-months ago; it looked like the volume was very low today until the buyers stepped in and moved the market up 20-points from its earlier low. Some will call this a double-bottom.  It’s possible; we’ll have to wait and see. 

Perhaps we’ll see some computer driven buying tomorrow.  That’s sounds better than the trickle-down we’ve seen so far.

NTSM
The NTSM analysis remained HOLD today, Tuesday.  It’s been slow and steady down – if we get a big day down, the NTSM would probably switch to sell.

MY INVESTED POSITION
I bought back into the stock market at S&P 500, 1155 on 7 Oct after the 6 Oct NTSM buy signal.  I remain 100% long in the long-term portfolio (and 100% stocks in the 401k.). (See the page “How to Use the NTSM System” – the link is on the right side of this page).  100% in stocks is quite extreme so don’t do it unless you have a high tolerance for risk.