Thursday, March 1, 2012

Bank of Israel Buying US Equities


The Bank of Israel will begin today a pilot program to invest a portion of its foreign currency reserves in U.S. equities.

The investment, which in the initial phase will amount to 2 percent of the $77 billion reserves, or about $1.5 billion, will be made through UBS AG and BlackRock Inc. (BLK), Bank of Israel spokesman Yossi Saadon said in a telephone interview today. At a later stage, the investment is expected to increase to 10 percent of the reserves.


So now our markets will be vulnerable to manipulation by foreign governments?  This seems wrong on many levels.  I wonder if the Chinese will be next?    

Detroit sold a lot of cars last month.  Chrysler sales were up 47%.  That would seem to good anecdotal news for the economy.

The S&P 500 is 9% above its 200-dMA.  That’s getting up there, but it’s not extreme.  When it gets up to the 12-15% range, I’ll start looking for a correction.  We’re still due for about a 5% move down and that might be the pause that refreshes.

Today, Thursday, the NTSM analysis remains BUY.  That’s not really a buy recommendation at this point; it just indicates we are generally positive on the market.    The real BUY recommendation was back in October.

I bought back into the stock market at S&P 500, 1155 on 7 Oct after the 6 Oct NTSM buy signal.  I remain 100% long in the long-term portfolio (100% stocks in the 401k.). (See the page “How to Use the NTSM System” – the link is on the right side of this page). 

Just a reminder: 100% invested in stocks is way too much for most rational folks.   Don’t do it unless you have a high tolerance for risk.