Thursday, January 17, 2013

Inflation? Inflation? There is no inflation in Baseball!

BASEBALL TICKET PRICES SOARING TO NEW HEIGHTS (from the LA Times)
“The sport's average ticket price went up 11.8%--the highest markup in a decade--to $16.67 this year. But that's nothing compared with the increases in Detroit, San Francisco and Houston.”  Full story at…
http://articles.latimes.com/2000/apr/05/sports/sp-16328

11.8% in one year?  There is no inflation…there is no inflation…there is no inflation…

Peter Schiff points out that the inflation data collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics is blatantly wrong and goes on the discuss how the CPI formula has been frequently changed and the present danger of inflation due to under reporting of its rate.  Now the Politicos think the CPI overstates inflation.

INFLATION PROPAGANDA EXPOSED (Seeking Alpha, Peter Schiff)
“...from 1999 to 2012 the Bureau of Labor Statistic's (BLS) "Newspaper and Magazine Index" (a component of the CPI) increased by 37.1%. But a perusal of the cover prices of the 10 most popular newspapers and magazines (WSJ, Washington Post, Time, Sports Illustrated, U.S. News & World Report, Newsweek, People, NY Times, USA Today, and the LA Times) over the same time frame showed an average cover price increase of 131.5% (3.5 times faster than the BLS' stats)...

According to the BLS we can all breathe easy on that front because their "Health Insurance Index" increased a mere 4.3% (total) in the four years between 2008 and 2012. Interestingly, over the same time, the Kaiser Survey of Employer Sponsored Health Insurance showed that the cost of family health insurance rose 24.2% (5.5 times faster)... Believe it or not, health insurance costs are assigned a weighting of less than one percent of the overall CPI. In contrast, the Kaiser Survey revealed that in 2012 the average total cost for family health insurance coverage was $15,745, or almost one third of the median family income.

If the BLS could be so blatantly wrong in reporting the prices of newspapers and health insurance, should we believe that they are more accurate on all other sectors?”

This was a long story and well worth the read.  Full commentary at...
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1114901-inflation-propaganda-exposed?source=yahoo

MARKET RECAP
Thursday the S&P 500 was up 0.56% to 1481 (rounded).  VIX rose about 1% to 13.57.  

NTSM
The NTSM analysis remained HOLD Thursday. 

Only the Price indicator remains positive.  All other indicators are neutral.
 
Market internals look good and late day buying, thought to indicate market action by the pros, has been up substantially, although it pulled back some yesterday.

MY INVESTED POSITION
Based on a BUY signal 7 of 9-days, and more importantly, consecutive closes above the prior high of 1466, I moved into the stock market at 1471 on the S&P 500 on 14 January.  I am currently invested in a range of near 50% invested in stocks.