Friday, January 18, 2013

S&P 500 “Up, Up, Up and Away”

THE PATH TO 1,650 FOR S&P 500 - Breakout (Yahoo Finance)
"...Ryan Detrick, sr. technical strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research is looking for another 15% this year and is taking comfort in the strength of small caps. "The small cap leadership is a good sign," Detrick says of their new high and 10-year outperformance. "That's an indicator that potentially sometime later this year, blue chips and the Dow Jones very well might also breakout to new highs."  Story at...
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/talking-technicals-path-1-650-p-500-130532830.html

MARKET RECAP
Friday, late day buying pushed the S&P 500 up 0.3% to 1486 (rounded).  VIX fell an astonishing amount, more than 9%, to 12.34 as of 4pm.  The surprising aspect is that the VIX fell so much with relatively little movement in the markets.  

“No fear,” says the VIX.  I think a falling is good for the bulls. Prior to 2008 I think the VIX fell all the way below 10, so it can keep going down, in spite of what the experts say.

NTSM
The NTSM analysis remained HOLD Friday. 

MY INVESTED POSITION
Based on a BUY signal 7 of 9-days, and more importantly, consecutive closes above the prior high of 1466, I moved into the stock market at 1471 on the S&P 500 on 14 January.  I am currently invested in a range of near 50% invested in stocks.